Evidence · DiggingBeagle record
Häner and colleagues: resource estimates for quantum secp256k1 discrete logarithms
Research preprint estimating resource requirements for a future fault-tolerant trapped-ion implementation of Shor on secp256k1. The stated 19,397 physical qubits, 25.7 days and 63 percent success are modeled architectural estimates, not an executed quantum attack or AI-derived classical breakthrough.
- Published
- Sep 4, 2026
- Source role
- primary disclosure
Evidence record
Research preprint estimating resource requirements for a future fault-tolerant trapped-ion implementation of Shor on secp256k1. The stated 19,397 physical qubits, 25.7 days and 63 percent success are modeled architectural estimates, not an executed quantum attack or AI-derived classical breakthrough.
Claim-level citations (1)
- supportsCan AI recover a wallet private key? The proof that is still missing: A September 4, 2026 research preprint estimated a future fault-tolerant trapped-ion quantum architecture could compute secp256k1 discrete logarithms in about 25.7 days using 19,397 physical qubits, with estimated success probability of 63 percent; these are modeled resource estimates, not an executed cryptographic break.
arXiv:2609.05625v1, Abstract, sentences on compilation estimates and 25.7-day 19,397-qubit resource model