Case · DiggingBeagle record

Model update histories can reveal when training examples entered or left a model

A controlled black-box study infers membership changes across versioned model checkpoints, including after a data record is removed.

Public disclosure: Nov 4, 2026

Scope

Controlled scheduled training and shadow-model experiments in the November 4, 2026 TMIA paper.

UnratedAI role: AGAINST AIAssessment method

At a glance

Mechanism and trust boundary

  1. 01

    Attacker obtains permitted black-box predictions from successive public model versions.

  2. 02

    A time-series inference model correlates prediction changes with sample inclusion at different training checkpoints.

  3. 03

    Attacker infers membership intervals, including records subsequently absent from the latest checkpoint.

Claims & evidence

CLM-NOV04-TMIA-VERSION-HISTORYTMIA infers temporal training-sample membership from a sequence of black-box checkpoint outputs; its reported Pythia-70M SST-5 timestamp-level F1 is 91.34% in the evaluated configuration.supported

Basis: reported finding

Link to claim
CLM-NOV04-TMIA-PARTIAL-OBSERVATIONThe paper finds materially weaker inference when only a portion of model checkpoints is observable; 25% checkpoint access yields 48.48% timestamp-level F1 in one experiment.supported

Basis: reported finding

Link to claim
CLM-NOV04-TMIA-PARTIAL-SNAPSHOT-F1The TMIA authors report timestamp/interval F1 of 72.82%/64.66% when 50% of model snapshots are observable, falling to 48.48%/36.47% with only 25% observable.supported

Basis: reported finding

Link to claim

Implications

Model unlearning and deletion policies need to account for historically disclosed outputs and checkpoint access, not just data in the latest snapshot.

Unknowns and contradictions

  • Real commercial model version histories may not expose the number and timing of checkpoints assumed in the research.
  • No real individual membership was demonstrated against a production provider.
  • Shadow-model, representation and training-update assumptions may limit transfer.

Sources and citation

Material revision history

  1. Nov 6, 2026 · Published version · first publication · revision 224